Introduction

It’s all about confidence

We’re all keen to know the latest regarding the global economy and listening to the radio recently I heard one journalist comment that “it only takes a few minutes for the nerves to kick in, but regaining the confidence takes a lot longer” which seems to sum up the current situation fairly well.

Obviously we can all see that the issues dominating world headlines have had a similar impact on confidence here as they have around the globe. The local climate has cooled in no uncertain terms with the inevitable effect of slowing what was an overheated and unsustainable job market.

In terms of the impact this has had on salaries, the key change has been that the “premium” employers have had to offer new recruits has all but disappeared with starting salaries for new employees largely in line with that of their existing employees. This has, of course, led to a significant moderation in salary increases across the board.

The public sector is a bastion of consistency despite conditions, with many candidates perceiving it as a sector that offers genuine career growth and security. The highly publicised commitment to infrastructure by both the Australian and New Zealand governments has also seen many candidates redefine the scope of their job search to include the public sector.

In Accountancy & Finance, there are areas of consistent demand such as insolvency, risk and compliance across Australia. As employers looked to increase efficiencies and reduce costs, those candidates with a track record of effective cost management have also retained their strong market position. Temporary and interim roles were also increasingly used as an effective way to manage peaks in workload. In New Zealand, similarly, the focus has been on insolvency and business recovery where candidate demand remains high although salary increases were rare. Management accountants, cost accountants and financial and performance analysts with a NZCA qualification are all in high demand, in particular those with extensive experience in the manufacturing or FMCG industries.

In Construction & Property, as with most industries, there are “up” sectors and “down” sectors in Australia. Competition to win contracts within the public sector has created high demand for experienced estimators and managers with strong business development skills. In New Zealand infrastructure also figures largely, with continued investment and the commencement of new projects in 2009, particularly in roads, rail, water and energy, ensuring its strength.

Activity and demand in the Resources & Mining sector remains largely at the mercy of commodity prices. However, Mining Engineers remain in strong demand as do Process and Chemical Engineers. In Oil & Gas the salaries, contract rates, bonus payments and relocation packages that previously had to be offered to be competitive have recently levelled.

Contract rates are now 10% to 15% lower than in the third quarter of 2008 and bonus payments are also considerably less. Human Resources salaries largely remained consistent over the past financial year and no major changes are foreseen for the coming year. Demand has understandably swung away from the focus on talent attraction and recruitment, towards key business functions such as learning and development as well as OHS.

In Procurement, as the focus on cost management intensified for many organisations, demand increased in Australia for sourcing and procurement professionals as well as for category managers with high-level expertise in large indirect spend categories. This was also the case in New Zealand where high demand for experienced forecasting analysts, demand planners, purchasing analysts, procurement managers and strategic sourcing managers is driving employers to become more flexible and offer top market premiums for candidates with strong experience.

In Information Technology, whilst the depth of the skills shortage has reduced, there are pockets of very specific expertise that remain in high demand such as development of J2EE and Microsoft .NET. In addition to certain technical streams, effective project management and business analysis capabilities are also needed to ensure projects are effective, timely and run on budget.

So what of the outlook?

As I write this, a series of significant measures have been announced – the Australian government has just launched a number of initiatives to retrain workers in order to combat the expected rise in unemployment, some of the banks are freezing mortgage payments for retrenched workers and the G20 has announced their trillion dollar package.

Economic indicators in the Australian and New Zealand economies seem to give an inkling of some stabilisation. The OECD say the Australian economy is “better than most” and apparently even our resources prices are “better than awful” (AFR 6/4/09). With regards to New Zealand, the ANZ Bank’s Economic Outlook published in April states “the economy will come out of a recession in the second half of this year”.

Business confidence will be critical to any recovery. If we all hold our nerve and look to maximise the positive we will have the effect of nurturing any “green shoots” as they appear. In terms of recruitment, there are still many roles in demand in specific areas, and therefore there will still be pressure on salaries in roles that incorporate elements such as revenue generation, cost reduction, risk management and niche skills in IT and Engineering.

Forward thinking employers will still be focusing on their human resources planning even in these times. It wasn’t that long ago that people were our greatest asset and, indeed, we think they still are!

We all need to remain committed to our staff – at least those who are adding value to our business. If you do have a need to recruit, don’t be tempted to think that the increase in candidates on the market will necessarily make finding the right person any easier; use all means to ensure your organisation has the right team in place to emerge stronger for the experience. In fact, those who have been recruiting have found that while their shortlist may be longer, they have still achieved a better outcome by relying on our expertise to prise out those applicants who may otherwise be reluctant to consider a career move in this market.

Candidates need to focus on commitment, capability and contribution. Ensure you are adding value to your employer, be proactive about the contribution you make, keep your skills in line with what the business needs to deliver and be focused on making the most of your career opportunities.

Nigel Heap
Managing Director
Hays Asia Pacific
May 2009